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顶级科学家分析,奥巴马任期结束时朝鲜可能拥有20枚核武器

来源:中核战略规划研究总院 日期:2015年01月15日

[据www.businessinsider.com网站2015年1月13日报道] 美国的朝鲜问题权威专家,斯坦福大学国际安全合作中心高级研究员西格弗里德·赫克表示,未来两年朝鲜可能拥有足以制造20枚核武器的核材料。

赫克曾任洛斯阿拉莫斯国家实验室主任,近十年中数次访问朝鲜。他认为美国过去五任总统的核政策、韩国摇摆不定的政策致使朝鲜最终实现了核武化。

赫克指出,朝鲜目前已拥有大约12枚核武器,而具备的生产能力可以每年生产4-6枚。他还认为,考虑到未来几年朝鲜的产能会逐步提高,朝鲜核弹数量还存在大规模提升的可能。在美国现任总统任期结束时,朝鲜很可能会再一次进行核试验,核武库达到20枚核弹。

他在分析中不客气的指出,过去的三十年美国政府没能成功阻止朝鲜的核计划。五届美国政府都决心阻止朝鲜成为核武器国家,采取了外交、威慑、通牒、制裁等各种手段,但最终都未成功。

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